South Sudanese rebels said they had seized control of the capital of oil-producing Upper Nile state on Tuesday, an assault that the government said breached a ceasefire and which casts doubt over planned peace talks.
The rebel strike was the first attack on a major town since the January 23 ceasefire deal, but the government denied rebels now controlled Malakal, which lies on the fringes of a key oil-producing area in the country’s northeastern corner.
The factions are under strong international pressure to lay down arms and start a delayed second round of talks, although diplomats question the commitment of either side to end the conflict as each has blamed the other for ceasefire violations.
“There is little sign on either side of a real intention to sit down and negotiate seriously,” one Western diplomat said.
The clashes will fuel concerns over the security of South Sudan’s northern oil fields – an economic lifeline for Juba and neighbouring Sudan, which receives a fee from the south for crude piped across its territory to the coast for export.
The rebels struck Malakal, located 650 km (400 miles) north of the capital Juba, shortly after daybreak. Their commander, Gathoth Gatkuoth, a close ally of former vice president Riek Machar, told Reuters they swiftly captured the town.
But a spokesman for government SPLA forces said later that fighting continued in Malakal’s southern neighbourhoods and that communications with the town had been lost.
Both camps have repeatedly accused the other of breaking the ceasefire. South Sudan on Tuesday voiced frustration at the lack of progress made by mediators to deploy regional observers to flashpoint areas.
“It is a flagrant violation of the cessation of hostilities agreement signed by both sides,” South Sudan’s Information Minister Michael Makuei told Reuters. “We have been calling on the envoys to expedite the establishment of the monitoring mechanism but nothing has happened so far.”
Malakal lies about 140 km (90 miles) from Paloch, an oil complex where a key crude oil processing facility is situated.
South Sudan says it has already been forced to cut oil production by a fifth to 200,000 barrels per day, all of which is pumped from Upper Nile. Rebel control of Malakal could raise concerns over its ability to maintain the rate of output.
“All the oil from the fields around Upper Nile is pumped to Paloch,” said Jacob Jok Dut, director of the Centre for Democracy and International Analysis who follows the oil industry closely. “If Malakal comes under rebel control, then definitely there will be tension in and around Upper Nile.”